AroniSmartIntelligence™ and AroniSmartInvest™ Stock Market Sentiment and NLP Analysis: Market Sentiment and Highlighted Stocks in Late January 2024

AroniSmartIntelligence Stock Market Indices Time Series Support Vector Machine, Neural Network and NLP Sentiment Analysis

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Stocks across industries  have been experienced an upward momentum  in late Q4 2023.   The dynamics followed the challenges at the end of Q3 2023 , when all the key market indices, excluding Crude Oil (CL=F) and 10-Yr Bond (^TNX), declined from the top reached  in late July 2023. As Q4 2023 started, the declines at the end of Q3 2023 started slowing down. By  the end of Q4  2023 the stocks prices  were on the rise and have been following that trend since then. The positive momentum correspond to the diminishing challenges, with the stocks and indices pushing through the beginning of 2024  with significant improvement in performances.  Hence,  since Q4 2023, the stock market  adjusted to the previous  dynamics that have been leading to increasing market volatility, including inflation, world events, and other challenges that started in late Q2 2022 and in October 2023.   The US elections in 2024 are expected to impact  the dynamics, but the performance  and factors from the end of year 2024 remains the main drivers.  On January 25, 2024, AroniSmart™ team, leveraging the NLP, Text and Sentiment Analysis, Machine Learning Econometrics and Time Series capabilities and Dominance Analysis of AroniSmartInvest ™ and AroniSmartIntelligence™, looked at the stock markets news and trends.

Q4 2023 was marked by strong resilience and ended with records performance, after a period with complex dynamics and given the current market factors, including the wars around the World, the US political situation, inflation and interest rates, and earnings seasons.

The stock market experienced an upward momentum in the first week of Q4 2023. However, in the second week, there were some unexpected world challenges with potential impact on Oil prices, technology, inflation, consumer confidence, and the projections following the upcoming earnings reports. These challenges impacted all the stock indices.

November 2023  ended with  significant declines across all market indices, except Silver Dec 23 (SI=F) and Gold Dec 23 (GC=F).

Since December 2023 and pushing through mid January 2024, , the indices  resumed their growth, experiencing improving trend  with  the following performances,  Since November 2023 and Year-to-Date (YTD) as  of January 24, 2024: 

  • NASDAQ Composite (^IXIC):   18.04% and 3.33%
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI):  14.35% and 0.95%
  • S&P 500 (^GSPC):  15.22%. and  2.61%
  • Crude Oil  index (CL=F): -7.89% and  7.630%
  • Russell 2000 (^RUT): 17.65% and -2.53%
  • Gold Dec 23 (GC=F): 2.31% and 2.16%
  • Silver Dec 23 (SI=F):  0.22% and -3.45%
  • CBOE Interest Rate 10 Year T No (^TNX):  -14.63% and 6.88%

Since the beginning of January 2024,  the performance among the market indices has been mostly rising, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) by 0.31%, the  Nasdaq (^IXIC)  by  3.33% and S&P 500 (^GSPC)  by  2.61%. Only the Russel  2000 (^RUT) went down, by -2.53%.

 Going forward,  with inflation now receding, the job market slowing down, and  fears of recession focusing on a slow  soft landing, the expectations of  the Federal Reserve ending the rate hikes and moving to cutting the rates are very high. 

The interest rate cuts  are expected to sustain the stability of the market, as companies will cut the costs of borrowing and the profitability will remain high. The  2024 upcoming meetings of the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC)  are planned for : January 30-31 ; March 19-20 ; Apr/May 30-1 ; June 11-12 ; July 30-31. It is expected that the first interest cuts may come in the Apr/May 30-1 meeting.

The results of the analysis using both AroniSmartIntelligence™ and AroniSmartInvest™ are below:


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Dynamics and  Trends in Late January 2024.

The key findings highlight:  Most of the stocks highlighted in early Q4 2024 analyses continued to drive the dynamics in late Q4 2024 and have maintained their impact throughout January 2024. Most saw a significant increase after a  decline in the last weeks of October 2023 and recovered over December 2023 (AroniSmartIntelligence™ and AroniSmartInvest™ Stock Market Sentiment and NLP Analysis: AroniSmartIntelligence™ and AroniSmartInvest™ Stock Market Sentiment and NLP Analysis: Market Sentiment and Highlighted Stocks in Mid December 2023).

 Trend wise, most of the gains that happened in late July - early August 2023, were impacted in mid-August 2023 and September 2023  and come back in the first week of Q4 2024, before stepping back and then fueling the upward trend in November  and early December 2023  and continuing the momentum in January 2024. 

The insights below are based on the data as of  January 25, 2024. AroniSmart™ team will continue to update detailed analyses.


AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - November 12 2023 - AroniSmartInvest Modules

Fig 1-a: AroniSmartInvest Modules

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - November 12 2023 - AroniSmartIntelligence Modules

Fig 1 -b: AroniSmartIntelligence Modules

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - January 25 2024 - Market Profile: Stock Segmentation

Fig 2-a: Market Segments

Market Profile Stocks to Watch - January 25 2024 - Market Profile: Stock Segmentation

Fig 2-b: Market Profile Stocks to Watch

Market Profile: Short Term Growth Stocks - January 25 2024 - Market Profile: Stock Segmentation

Fig 3-a:Market Profile: Short Term Growth Stocks

Market Profile: High Perforrming  Stocks - January 25 2024 - Market Profile: Stock Segmentation

Fig 3-b: Market Profile: High Performing Stocks

Market Profile: Long Term Growth  Stocks - January 25 2024 - Market Profile: Stock Segmentation

Fig 3-c: Market Profile: Long Term Stocks

 

Market Profile: Long Term Growth  Stocks - January 25 2024 - Market Profile: Stock Segmentation

Fig 3-d: Market Profile: Reversal Up Stocks

 

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - January 25 2024 - Market Profile: Stock Segmentation

Fig 3-e: Market and Stock Segmentation

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - January 25 2024 - Market Profile: Stocks to Watch and Sentiment Market Profile and Sentiment: Key Fig 3-Fig 3-f: Stocks to Watch and Tags


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AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - January 25 2024

Fig 4-a: Sentiment Analysis: Stocks to watch A - C

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - January 25 2024

Fig 4-b: Sentiment Analysis: Stocks to watch C - I

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - January 25 2024

Fig 4-c: Sentiment Analysis: Stocks to watch I - P

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - January 25 2024

Fig 4-d: Sentiment Analysis: Stocks to watch P - Z and Word Tags


NLP Sentiment Analysis: Key Word Tags

 

 

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - January 25 2024

Fig 5-a: Sentiment Analysis: Word Tags A - D

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - January 25 2024

Fig 5-b: Sentiment Analysis: Word Tags D - G

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - January 25 2024

Fig 5-c: Sentiment Analysis: Word Tags G - L

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - January 25 2024

Fig 5-d: Sentiment Analysis: Word Tags L - P

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - January 25 2024

Fig 5-e: Sentiment Analysis: Word Tags P - S

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - January 25 2024

Fig 5-f: Sentiment Analysis: Word Tags S - W

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - January 25 2024

Fig 5-g: Sentiment Analysis: Word Tags S - Y

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - January 25 2024

Fig 5-h: Sentiment Analysis: Word Tags Positivity Score


Bayesian Modeling and NLP analysis: Stocks to Watch and High, Short, and Long Term Growth Stocks

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks -  January 25 2024

Fig 6-a: Stocks Bayesian Network View: Watch, High Performing and Short Growth

 

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - January 25 2024

Fig 6-b: Sentiment and Tags: Some Stocks to Watch and Key Tags Sentiment - Rectangular View

 

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - January 25 2024

Fig 6-c: Sentiment and Tags: Positivity and Some Stocks to Watch - Circular View.

 

AroniSmartIntelligence Sentiment Analysis Stocks - January 25 2024

Fig 6-d: Sentiment and Tags: Positivity and Some Stocks to Watch - Helix View.

 

More detailed analyses can be conducted using AroniSmartIntelligence™ Big Data, Machine Learning, Time Series and Sentiment Analysis capabilities.

For  more on AroniSmartIntelligence and AroniSmartInvest capabilities, visit AroniSoft web site by clicking here. AroniSmartInvest™ and AroniSmartIntelligence ™ are available on Apple's App Store.

 

©2024 AroniSoft LLC


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AroniSmartIntelligence™, the leading tool for Advanced Analytics, Machine Learning & Data Science

Statisticians, Data Scientists, Business and Financial Analysts,  Savvy Investors, Engineers, Researchers,  Students, Teachers, Economists, Political Analysts,  and most of  the practitioners use Advanced Analytics to answer questions, to support informed  decision making or to learn.

AroniSmartIntelligence™ is a leading Advanced Analytics, Machine Learning and Data Science tool, with optimized cutting edge Statistics models, Econometrics, Big Data and Text Analytics.

AronismartIntelligence™ includes modules covering Machine Learning and Big Data mining, Unstructured Text Analysis, Sentiment and Emotion Analytics, Bayesian Statistics and other advanced analytics.



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